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Understanding What An Attribution Model Is And How It Works

Discover what an attribution model is, how it impacts marketing strategies, and the key types to help optimize your campaign performance.

October 17, 2024
Written by
Matt Lenhard
Reviewed by

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In the world of digital marketing, it’s not just about running campaigns but also about understanding which touchpoints in a customer’s journey contribute most to a conversion. This is where attribution models come into play. Attribution models are frameworks that allow marketers to assign value to different engagements a consumer has with their marketing efforts, helping to determine which channels, campaigns, or interactions should be credited for driving conversions.

What is an Attribution Model?

Simply put, an attribution model is a set of rules that helps decide how credit for conversions is assigned across a customer’s journey. When users interact with different touchpoints, such as clicking on a paid ad, opening an email, or visiting your website directly, these interactions build momentum towards a conversion, whether it’s making a purchase, signing up for a newsletter, or downloading a resource.

An attribution model helps answer critical questions like:

  • Which touchpoint had the most influence on the customer?
  • Should all credit go to the first or last interaction?
  • How much credit should each channel get?

These questions are important because they reveal how to optimize future marketing efforts and where to allocate budget more effectively.

Why Are Attribution Models Important?

Attribution models provide marketers with insights that are vital for improving campaign effectiveness. If you only tracked the last touchpoint, for instance, you might miss the fact that consumers initially discovered your brand through organic search or social media. Using the wrong model can lead to missed opportunities and misallocated ad budgets. By implementing the correct attribution model, you gain a comprehensive understanding of the customer journey and an improved ability to make data-driven decisions.

Proper attribution modeling helps you:

  • Understand which marketing channels produce the highest ROI.
  • Optimize budgets by focusing on high-performing channels.
  • Increase lead volume and conversion rates by aligning efforts with impactful phases of the customer funnel.

Different Types of Attribution Models

Now that we know why attribution models are important, let’s dive into different types of attribution models. While there are several approaches, the most popular models include:

Attribution Model Description Best For
Last-Click Attribution This model gives 100% of the credit to the last touchpoint interacted with before conversion. Simpler funnels or campaigns where the final interaction is most significant.
First-Click Attribution This model assigns all of the credit to the first touchpoint a user engages with in their journey. Brand awareness campaigns where the primary goal is to drive initial engagement.
Linear Attribution Each touchpoint receives equal credit for the resulting conversion. If there are five interactions, each would get 20% of the credit. When you want to give equal importance to every interaction in the journey.
Time Decay Attribution This model gives more credit to touchpoints that occur closer to the time of conversion. Long sales cycles where you want to credit the final stages of the funnel more heavily.
Position-Based (U-Shaped) Attribution Positions most of the credit (typically 40%) to the first and last touchpoints, leaving the remaining 20% to be divided among the middle interactions. Balancing both brand awareness and conversion-driven efforts.

Understanding what each model brings to the table is necessary for ensuring that you’re using the right one based on your business objectives. Let’s explore these models in more depth.

Last-Click Attribution

In last-click attribution, all of the credit for the conversion goes to the last point of contact a customer had with your brand before making a purchase or filling out a form. For example, if a customer first clicked through a Google search ad, then interacted with a Facebook ad, and finally clicked on an email before converting, only the email interaction would be credited.

This model is easy to implement and is widely used, especially in Google Analytics by default. However, it's often criticized because it undervalues the earlier interactions that may have significantly influenced a user's decision.

First-Click Attribution

First-click attribution weights the earliest interaction much more heavily. With this model, the first touchpoint that engages the customer is deemed the most important. It's an ideal model for companies focused on lead generation in the awareness phase of the funnel. For instance, if an initial organic search leads to a sale several touchpoints later, the credit goes to the first search click.

However, this model can also provide an unbalanced view. It may overlook the critical nurturing tactics or touchpoints in the final stages that sealed the deal.

Linear Attribution

Linear attribution is the most "even-handed" of all the models, assigning equal credit to every touchpoint a customer encountered before converting. For example, if a customer had five touchpoints, each would be assigned 20% of the total credit. This approach can be useful when considering the long-term health of customer engagements because it acknowledges that every touchpoint helps drive a customer to make a decision.

While this model is easy to understand, it may not always reflect the true significance of each touchpoint. Some touchpoints are indeed more influential than others, and linear attribution doesn't account for that difference.

Time Decay Attribution

The time decay attribution model awards more credit to touchpoints that occur closer to the conversion event. For example, a customer may have interacted with a display ad two weeks ago, but the final interaction they had yesterday (perhaps an email click) is credited more because of its proximity to the conversion.

This model makes sense when you believe that interactions closer to the conversion have a greater influence on the user’s decision to act. It works well in B2B or industries with lengthy consideration cycles, but the downside is that it might undervalue early touchpoints that brought in initial awareness.

Position-Based (U-Shaped) Attribution

In position-based attribution, both the first and last touchpoints are heavily weighted, with the assumption that the first engagement and the final interaction have the most significant roles in influencing a customer's decision. Typically, 40% of the credit goes to the first touchpoint, another 40% to the last, and the remaining 20% is distributed equally among the other interactions.

This model helps balance campaigns aimed at initial discovery and eventual conversions. It comes in handy when you're focusing on both brand awareness and closing sales.

Which Attribution Model is Right for You?

Choosing the right attribution model requires a deep understanding of your business goals and customer journey. Here's how to start:

  • If you're trying to build brand awareness, focus on a First-Click Attribution model to identify where your customers are first discovering your brand.
  • If your customer journey tends to involve immediate decisions, Last-Click Attribution might work, but be cautious of underrepresenting nurturing efforts.
  • For long customer cycles, consider either Time Decay or Position-Based Attribution, as they can offer a more realistic view of the touchpoints actually driving conversions.
  • Experiment with Linear Attribution if you want to make sure all touchpoints are evenly credited.

Ultimately, there is no “one-size-fits-all” message. Many businesses utilize multi-touch attribution models or even customize models based on their unique data.

How to Choose and Optimize an Attribution Model

Choosing the right model doesn't end with setting it up. Regular re-assessment is necessary to ensure you're getting the most accurate insights. The ideal method for optimizing an attribution strategy includes A/B testing different models, consistency in tracking methods, and collaborating with sales teams to review which leads are turning into actual results.

Additionally, tools like Google Analytics or specialized platforms such as HubSpot can help track user interactions, run reports, and even compare different attribution models side-by-side, giving you more control and understanding of how conversions are truly happening.

By applying the right attribution model, you transform your data from individual interactions to a cohesive strategy where each touchpoint plays a significant role in driving growth.

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Matt Lenhard
Co-founder & CTO of Positional

Matt Lenhard is the Co-founder & CTO of Positional. Matt is a serial entrepreneur and a full-stack developer. He's built companies in both B2C and B2B and used content marketing and SEO as a primary customer acquisition channel. Matt is a two-time Y Combinator alum having participated in the W16 and S21 batches.

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